I'm not going to go on record and make any predictions regarding the presidential election. If you know me, you know who I'm voting for.

Under the guise of a post dealing with economic issues, I'm just going to point you to Ray Fair's econometric model that has been quite accurate in the past at predicting elections (see the model's 2000 final prediction). The model is updated every quarter, and new predictions are run.

October 29, 2004 Fair Model Prediction

Note that Fair's model predicts percentages of the two-party vote received by each candidate. So these aren't percentage numbers of all votes cast, these are percentage numbers of only the votes cast for either of the two major parties. His margin of error is 2.5%.

Heck, if you want to, you can play with the numbers on Fair's model yourself and see what happens.

If you live in Whatcom County, polls open at 7:00 AM and close at 8:00 PM. The Whatcom County Auditor's web page has more info, voting guides, etc. There's also a sample ballot that you should check out; unless you've already voted absentee or something.